Monday, November 1, 2010

An Election Prediction

I write this just a few hours before the polls open for the 2010 midterm election. It looks like it will be a Republican sweep. President Obama and his fellow Democrats have not done a good job of justifying the actions they’ve taken in the past two years. Many of the things they did were absolutely essential to save the country from an economic crash. Had the Democrats not pushed through the bailouts, the American banking system as we know it would have disappeared. The same is true of the automobile industry. It’s hard to imagine why anybody really would have wanted General Motors and Chrysler to go bankrupt. But, Republicans and especially the Tea Party group have painted the Democratic action as a socialist takeover of the government. They seem to have convinced the majority of the public.

So, here is my prediction: Republicans will gain at least 50 seats in the House of Representatives. If they gain anything less than 40 seats it will be a great victory for the Democrats. In the Senate I suspect that they will gain at least 6 seats and possibly even more. In just a few hours we will know if my predictions are correct or not.

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